A political analyst has warned that the opposition risks handing President William Ruto an easy victory in the 2027 General Election due to divisions and weak party structures outside traditional strongholds.
According to the analyst, the Democracy for Citizens Party (DCP) is gradually gaining momentum and could soon overtake the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) in national influence if current trends continue.
The analyst argued that the Wiper Democratic Movement remains largely confined to the Ukambani region, limiting the presidential chances of party leader Kalonzo Musyoka. At the same time, the analyst maintained that the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) continues to enjoy nationwide support despite growing criticism directed at President Ruto’s administration.
The analyst further claimed that the opposition could face more internal turmoil if former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua successfully survives his political and legal battles. According to the remarks, Gachagua could opt to contest the presidency independently, a move likely to split opposition votes and weaken efforts to field a single candidate against Ruto.
The analyst also suggested that Gachagua could eventually reconcile with the President through a political handshake, similar to past political realignments witnessed in Kenya.
The warning comes amid increasing political realignments ahead of the 2027 elections, with leaders intensifying grassroots mobilization and coalition-building efforts across the country. The analyst urged Ukambani leaders to reconsider their political strategy and pursue cooperation with the government early enough to avoid being sidelined in future power-sharing arrangements.
There is also growing speculation that a future political truce between Ruto and Gachagua cannot be ruled out, mirroring past political reconciliations that reshaped Kenya’s political landscape. Such a scenario, analysts argue, could leave leaders like Kalonzo isolated in the opposition yet again while regions perceived to be closer to government continue to enjoy greater political leverage and bargaining power. The unfolding debate has now reignited conversations in Ukambani over whether the region should align itself with government early enough ahead of the high-stakes 2027 contest.
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